Earlier: Yes, Virginia (Dare), "Social Desirability Bias" IS Skewing Immigration Polls—And Trump's

BLM/Antifa Communists have become particularly notorious for tactics like mobbing innocent white Americans in restaurants and demanding that they “raise the fist” in solidarity or utter the sacred mantra “Black Lives Matter.” This summer, a brave Washington DC diner called Lauren Victor famously refused to comply, despite being surrounded by people, noticeably other women, who raised their fists  [BLM protesters accost white diners for not raising fists, By Kenneth Garger, New York Post, August 25, 2020].

Does mobbing of this kind work as a tactic—to extent of helping to ensure that Joe Biden will be elected president? Unfortunately, the answer is “potentially, yes”—at least in a close contest. (But read to the end to see a caveat).

There is abundant research on how the mob mentality can force people to conform, at least when in the presence of the mob. According to research by Damon Centola of the University of Pennsylvania and his team, when you are part of a group you will tend to conform—even to the extent of stating something to be true which you on some level know is not true—once you witness about 25% of your group do so [Experimental evidence for tipping points in social convention, By Damon Centola et al., Science, 2018]. This percentage seems to constitute a “critical mass;” a “tipping point” after which the rest of the group will migrate over to the minority opinion, especially if fervently expressed, because this opinion appears to be the future, the opinion of the “winning team” that you want to be on.

Of the presidents in the modern era, many have been dealt a difficult hand by history, but perhaps none more so than Donald Trump.

In 1952, Harry Truman was in his third year of a stalemated war in Korea that was costing 200 American lives every week. He lost the New Hampshire primary to Sen. Estes Kefauver and decided to pack it in.

In 1968, Lyndon B. Johnson had also been challenged in New Hampshire, by Sen. Eugene McCarthy. And, he, too, had on his hands a seemingly endless Asian war if he was not prepared to escalate militarily and add hundreds of thousands more troops to the 500,000 already in Vietnam.

Philadelphia was under curfew last night and Danielle Outlaw, the black lady police chief newly hired after her stellar performance in Portland OR, is breast-beating about her force’s need for more mental health social workers [Philadelphia pledges better response after shooting death of Walter Wallace Jr., 6ABC.com, October 29, 2020]. Of course, this is completely irrelevant to the beat cops’ urgent need to protect themselves from Walter Wallace Jr., the “aspiring rapper” who attacked them with a knife, and to the city’s imperative need to assert law and order—the absence of which most hurts decent blacks, as Thomas Sowell has pointed out—if necessary by ruthless coercion. Riots are the new normal for America if President Trump is not re-elected—and maybe if he is. But Joe Biden tepidly condemned the recent riots only after expressing “shock and grief” about “another Black life in America lost” [Biden, Harris Express ‘Shock and Grief’ Over Police Shooting of Walter Wallace Jr., by Brian X. McCrone, 10 Philadelphia, October 27, 2020].

This was a fairly straightforward incident of an armed criminal being put down by police. If even this causes riots that the authorities are too Politically Correct to stop, every interaction between police and blacks can turn into an inferno. It means this country is on a permanent war footing.

One of the bizarre undercurrents of the Black Lives Matter movement is how the “victims” seem to be declining in quality. George Floyd had a lengthy criminal record, held a gun to a pregnant woman’s stomach, and died from a drug overdose but at least the initial video (dishonestly presented by the MSM) portrayed him as sympathetic. Someone could at least say that regardless of a person’s criminal record or evasive behavior, police shouldn’t be allowed to act in a certain way.

Then there was Jacob Blake, who was shot by police after his girlfriend called in a domestic violence dispute. He broke away from officers and reached into a car, something that would get just about anyone shot. Nonetheless, because he was at least shot in the back, Democrat vice-presidential nominee Kamala Harris could meet with the family for what Ben Crump called an “inspiring and uplifting visit” [Kamala Harris meets with Jacob Blake’s family in Wisconsin, by Jason Silverstein, CBS News, September 8, 2020].

Now, there’s Walter Wallace Jr., who had a long history of abusing and threatening women, including family members. He approached police with a weapon. What do you think is going to happen?

I’m not at liberty to reveal my sources, but I have obtained a draft of President Joe Biden’s inaugural address. (Trump, unfortunately, won’t be there to hear it. He will be holding a competing rally at RFK Stadium, also starting at 12 noon on Jan. 20.)

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*** EXCLUSIVE CONTENT! MUST CREDIT COULTER! ***

Ladies and gentlemen, members of the fairer sex, the unfair sex, the transgenders, queers, what have you.

Women and gentlemen!

I’ve known women—my wife, my sister—no, that’s my wife! I mean my wife over here. The fat one.

I mean: The fact is, they switched on me!

Anyway, standing here today on the steps of the capitol of Wilmington—I should say, standing here today on the steps of the Capitol in the state of Washington, as we do every year, we have this peaceful transfer of power—I should say, every four years.

Which is a Big F—ing Deal! I used to say that to Barack all the time.

I see him out there! He’s the articulate, bright and clean one.

As I was coming over here on this brisk June day, I started thinking, why is it that Joe Biden is the first in his family ever to go to a university? My ancestors, Welsh coal miners, would come up after 12 hours underground and play cricket for hours. Were they not smart? Were they not strong, mate?

And so, as I look out at this wonderful crowd—what’s that from the fella in the back? You say I’m not Welsh and my father was a Chevrolet dealer in Wilmington?

The lives of President Barack Obama and Vice-Presidential nominee Kamala Harris have striking similarities. Both came from relatively privileged backgrounds. Both fit the needs of the Democratic Party’s new coalition. Both are “black” but via foreign parents:  neither share the experience of African-Americans descended from slaves. And both support and symbolize “The Great Awokening,” the American Left’s dramatic recent shift from liberal to Cultural Marxist values, which apparently makes affluent whites feel good about themselves but is reaping a terrible toll on the very people (poor blacks in inner cities) that the movement claims to be defending.

On Monday, Steve Sailer joined me for a discussion of his 2016 book America’s Half-Blood Prince: Barack Obama’s ‘Story of Race and Inheritance', which is the latest selection in the VDARE Book Club. What struck me most throughout our discussion is the feeling that we have been through this before. After all, it was the urban riots and anti-police rhetoric of Obama’s second term that helped Donald Trump win the White House. As Steve said yesterday, after the 2016 Dallas Black Lives Matter shooting that took the lives of five police officers and is accordingly now memory-holed, he thought to himself: “So Donald Trump is going to be the next President of the United States.” Will President Trump be re-elected by a country fed up with riots and violence?

Of course, there are some differences this time around. Monday night’s looting and attacks on police in Philadelphia barely made the Main Stream Media. Digital deplatforming and anarcho-tyranny have made it far more difficult for any opposition to mobilize against the neo-Jacobins in the streets.

President Donald Trump was elected because his opponents underestimated both him and the power of his nationalist message. But rather than rethinking their campaign of hatred against the Historic American Nation, the lesson that MSM journalists and the Ruling Class as a whole took from 2016 was that repression needs to be intensified.

Perhaps they are right that this was the best tactic. Either way, Kamala Harris would certainly be willing to put the power of the state behind the oligarchs who are already doing their best to silence us.